Where each equation comes from
220 − age is usually attributed to Fox and colleagues (1971). Robergs and Landwehr traced it to observations from about 11 earlier data sets rather than an original regression study, and concluded that it has no scientific merit for precise use in exercise physiology.
Tanaka, Monahan and Seals pooled 351 studies covering 18,712 adults and derived 208 − 0.7 × age, then confirmed almost the same line (209 − 0.7 × age) in 514 laboratory-tested adults; men and women did not differ. Gulati and colleagues found mean peak heart rate of 206 − 0.88 × age in 5,437 asymptomatic women. Nes and colleagues measured 3,320 healthy adults in the Norwegian HUNT study and reported 211 − 0.64 × age.